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Romer, Christina D.; Romer, David H. - 2022

This paper analyzes the contributions of monetary and fiscal policy to postwar economic recoveries. We find that the Federal Reserve typically responds to downturns with prompt and large reductions in interest rates. Discretionary fiscal policy, in contrast, rarely reacts before the trough in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309225

New-Keynesian Economics : An As-Ad View

Benigno, Pierpaolo - 2010

economy is depressed because some agents are deleveraging, fiscal policy is more powerful and the multiplier can be quite big …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757664

Stepping on a Rake : The Fiscal Theory of Monetary Policy

Cochrane, John H. - 2016

The fiscal theory of the price level can describe monetary policy. Governments can set interest rate targets and thereby affect inflation, with no change in fiscal surpluses. The same basic mechanism describes interest rate targets, forward guidance, open market operations, and quantitative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976990

Monetary Policy with Interest on Reserves

Cochrane, John H. - 2014

I analyze monetary policy with interest on reserves and a large balance sheet. I show that conventional theories do not determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044987

Understanding Policy in the Great Recession : Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic

Cochrane, John H. - 2010

I use the valuation equation of government debt to understand fiscal and monetary policy in and following the great recession of 2008-2009, to think about fiscal pressures on US inflation, and what sequence of events might surround such an inflation. I emphasize that a fiscal inflation can come...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142092

The Evolution of Economic Understanding and Postwar Stabilization Policy

Romer, Christina D.; Romer, David H. - 2022

functioning of the economy and the effects of policy. We document the changes in beliefs using contemporaneous discussions of the … economy and policy by monetary and fiscal policymakers and, for the period since the late 1960s, using the Federal Reserve …'s internal forecasts. We find that policymakers' understanding of the economy has not exhibited steady improvement. Instead, the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322316

Understanding the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

Christiano, Lawrence J.; Fitzgerald, Terry J. - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223567

Optimal Inflation Targeting Under Alternative Fiscal Regimes

Benigno, Pierpaolo; Woodford, Michael - 2021

Standard discussions of flexible inflation targeting as an optimal monetary policy abstract completely from the consequences of monetary policy for the government budget. But at least some of the countries now adopting inflation targeting have substantial difficulty in controlling fiscal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238733

A Fiscal Theory of Monetary Policy with Partially-Repaid Long-Term Debt

Cochrane, John H. - 2022

I construct a simple model with sticky prices and interest rate targets, closed by fiscal theory of the price level with long-term debt and fiscal and monetary policy rules. Fiscal surpluses rise following deficits, to repay accumulated debt, but surpluses do not respond to all values of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314319

Long-Term Debt and Optimal Policy in the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

Cochrane, John H. - 2021

The fiscal theory says that the price level is determined by the ratio of nominal debt to the present value of real primary surpluses. I analyze long-term debt and optimal policy in the fiscal theory. I find that the maturity structure of the debt matters. For example, it determines whether news...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220940