Showing 1 - 10 of 54
This paper analyzes the contributions of monetary and fiscal policy to postwar economic recoveries. We find that the Federal Reserve typically responds to downturns with prompt and large reductions in interest rates. Discretionary fiscal policy, in contrast, rarely reacts before the trough in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309225
A key issue in current research and policy is the size of fiscal multipliers when the economy is in recession. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138770
study the effects of fiscal stimulus. Our small-open-economy empirical setting permits us to estimate key macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861210
Prevalent thinking about liquidity traps suggests that the perfect substitutability of money and bonds at a zero short-term nominal interest rate renders open-market operations ineffective for achieving macroeconomic stabilization goals. In an earlier paper, we showed that this reasoning does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133109
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223567
functioning of the economy and the effects of policy. We document the changes in beliefs using contemporaneous discussions of the … economy and policy by monetary and fiscal policymakers and, for the period since the late 1960s, using the Federal Reserve …'s internal forecasts. We find that policymakers' understanding of the economy has not exhibited steady improvement. Instead, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322316
rest of the world. In this paper we show how the standard closed-economy macroeconomic model -- the Phillips curve … augmented IS-LM analysis -- has to be modified for the United States to take account of the economy's international interactions … effects are in practice significantly large for the United States economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227014
recent efforts to stimulate the economy, reaching two main conclusions. First, policy interventions have increased in this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150639
We evaluate the Friedman-Schwartz hypothesis that a more accommodative monetary policy could have greatly reduced the severity of the Great Depression. To do this, we first estimate a dynamic, general equilibrium model using data from the 1920s and 1930s. Although the model includes eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309234
This paper develops the quantitative implications of optimal fiscal policy in a business cycle model. In a stationary equilibrium the ex ante tax rate on capital income is approximately zero. There is an equivalence class of ex post capital income tax rates and bond policies that support a given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114944