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This paper analyzes the contributions of monetary and fiscal policy to postwar economic recoveries. We find that the Federal Reserve typically responds to downturns with prompt and large reductions in interest rates. Discretionary fiscal policy, in contrast, rarely reacts before the trough in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309225
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540547
A key issue in current research and policy is the size of fiscal multipliers when the economy is in recession. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138770
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076565
study the effects of fiscal stimulus. Our small-open-economy empirical setting permits us to estimate key macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861210
Prevalent thinking about liquidity traps suggests that the perfect substitutability of money and bonds at a zero short-term nominal interest rate renders open-market operations ineffective for achieving macroeconomic stabilization goals. In an earlier paper, we showed that this reasoning does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133109
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223567
functioning of the economy and the effects of policy. We document the changes in beliefs using contemporaneous discussions of the … economy and policy by monetary and fiscal policymakers and, for the period since the late 1960s, using the Federal Reserve …'s internal forecasts. We find that policymakers' understanding of the economy has not exhibited steady improvement. Instead, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322316
existing conditions in the economy. Using the IMF fiscal consolidations dataset for identification and a new decomposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306480
recent efforts to stimulate the economy, reaching two main conclusions. First, policy interventions have increased in this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150639