Showing 1 - 10 of 20
This paper analyzes the contributions of monetary and fiscal policy to postwar economic recoveries. We find that the Federal Reserve typically responds to downturns with prompt and large reductions in interest rates. Discretionary fiscal policy, in contrast, rarely reacts before the trough in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309225
economy is depressed because some agents are deleveraging, fiscal policy is more powerful and the multiplier can be quite big …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757664
We propose an integrated treatment of the problems of optimal monetary and fiscal policy, for an economy in which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218299
Standard discussions of flexible inflation targeting as an optimal monetary policy abstract completely from the consequences of monetary policy for the government budget. But at least some of the countries now adopting inflation targeting have substantial difficulty in controlling fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238733
functioning of the economy and the effects of policy. We document the changes in beliefs using contemporaneous discussions of the … economy and policy by monetary and fiscal policymakers and, for the period since the late 1960s, using the Federal Reserve …'s internal forecasts. We find that policymakers' understanding of the economy has not exhibited steady improvement. Instead, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322316
In OECD countries over the period 1980–2017, countries with lower debt-to-GDP ratios responded to financial distress with much more expansionary fiscal policy and suffered much less severe aftermaths. Two lines of evidence together suggest that the relationship between the debt ratio and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871942
This paper provides evidence on the behavior of public debt managers during fiscal" stabilizations in OECD countries over the last two decades. We find that debt maturity tends to" lengthen the more credible the program, the lower the long-term interest rate and the higher the" volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210679
Asset prices and the equity premium might reflect doubts and pessimism. Introducing these features in an otherwise standard New-Keynesian model changes in a quite substantial way the nature of the policy that maximizes the welfare of the consumers in the model. First, following productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137729
-articulated and documented transmission mechanism of monetary shocks to the real economy. It begins by reviewing the challenge to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087874
This paper describes a new data set of the forecasts of output growth, inflation, and unemployment prepared by individual members of the Federal Open Market Committee. The paper discusses the scope of the data set, possibilities for extending it, and some potential uses. It offers a preliminary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151648