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While the ECB helped mitigate the euro crisis in the aftermath of Lehman, it has stretched its monetary mandate and moved into fiscal territory. This text describes and summarizes the crucial role played by the ECB in the intervention spiral resulting from its bid to manage the crisis. It also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918640
I analyze monetary policy with interest on reserves and a large balance sheet. I show that conventional theories do not determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044987
In this paper I focus on two specific hazard areas in the transition from Stage Two to Stage Three of European economic and monetary union (EMU), as well as on some key problems of Stage Three that EMU's monetary and fiscal structures appear ill-prepared to handle. The transitional hazards are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235280
In this paper, I discuss the implications for emerging countries of the adoption of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in advanced jurisdictions, such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Euro Zone. The analysis identifies benefits as well as costs. Among the former, one of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351704
We describe some of the main features of the recent vintage macroeconomic models used for monetary policy evaluation. We point to some of the key differences with respect to the earlier generation of macro models, and highlight the insights for policy that these new frameworks have to offer. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759756
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central banks and a comprehensive classification of events, we decompose news conveyed by central banks into news about monetary policy, economic growth, and separately, shocks to risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911101
occurred from 2000 through 2007 and describe how they affected the performance of the U.S. economy. Declining coefficients in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982029
Analysis of quantitative easing (QE) typically focus on the recent past studying the policy's effectiveness during a financial crisis when nominal interest rates are zero. This paper examines instead the usefulness of QE in a future fiscal crisis, modeled as a situation where the fiscal outlook...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986689
order to stabilize the real economy. A modified Taylor curve, the forecast Taylor curve, showing the tradeoff between the … achieved an efficient stabilization of both inflation and the real economy and what relative weight on the stability of … inflation and the real economy has effectively been applied. Ex ante evaluation may be more relevant than evaluation ex post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150832
We examine the quantitative impact of the Federal Reserve's mortgage-backed securities (MBS) purchase program. We focus on how much of the recent decline in mortgage interest rate spreads can be attributed to these purchases. The question is more difficult than frequently perceived because of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149572