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Business Cycles and Oligopoly Supergames : Some Empirical Evidence on Prices and Margins
Domowitz, Ian; Petersen, Bruce C.; Hubbard, R. Glenn - 2021
There has been a significant interest on a theoretical level in the application of supergames to oligopoly behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216122
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Shaped by Booms and Busts : How the Economy Impacts CEO Careers and Management Styles
Schoar, Antoinette - 2014
We show that economic conditions when managers enter the labor market have long-run effects on their career paths and … managerial styles. Managers who began their careers during recessions become CEOs more quickly, but at smaller firms. They also … environment is important to the formation and selection of managers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067126
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Trading on Sunspots
Jovanovic, Boyan - 2015
In a model with multiple Pareto-ranked equilibria we add trade in assets that pay based on the realization of a sunspot. Asset trading restricts the equilibrium set in a way that raises welfare by eliminating equilibria with a high likelihood of disasters. When the probability of a disaster is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031016
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A Supergame-Theoretic Model of Business Cycles and Price Wars During Booms
Rotemberg, Julio J.; Saloner, Garth - 2021
the collusive outcome is often greater when demand is high. To moderate this temptation,the optimizing oligopoly reduces … support our theory. (J.E.L. Classification numbers:020, 130, 610) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228647
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Investment Dispersion and the Business Cycle
Bachmann, Ruediger - 2011
We document a new business cycle fact: the cross-sectional standard deviation of firm-level investment (investment dispersion) is robustly and significantly procyclical. This makes investment dispersion different from the dispersion of productivity and output growth, which is countercyclical....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128889
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Procyclicality and Monetary Aggregates
Shin, Hyun Song - 2011
Financial intermediaries borrow in order to lend. When credit is increasing rapidly, the traditional deposit funding (core liabilities) is supplemented with other funding (non-core liabilities). We explore the hypothesis that monetary aggregates reflect the size of non-core and core liabilities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129118
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Understanding Booms and Busts in Housing Markets
Burnside, A. Craig - 2011
Some booms in housing prices are followed by busts. Others are not. It is generally difficult to find observable fundamentals that are useful for predicting whether a boom will turn into a bust or not. We develop a model consistent with these observations. Agents have heterogeneous expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130972
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The Propagation of Regional Recessions
Hamilton, James D. - 2011
This paper develops a framework for inferring common Markov-switching components in a panel data set with large cross-section and time-series dimensions. We apply the framework to studying similarities and differences across U.S. states in the timing of business cycles. We hypothesize that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131771
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Self-Fulfilling Expectations and Fluctuations in Aggregate Demand
Woodford, Michael - 2010
The paper presents an intertemporal general equilibrium model with rationing in the product market, in which stationary sunspot equilibria are shown to exist, indicating the possibility of fluctuations in economic activity simply due to self-fulfilling variations in economic agents'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138365
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Firm Heterogeneity, Endogenous Entry, and the Business Cycle
Ottaviano, Gianmarco I.P. - 2011
This paper investigates the role that the entry and exit of heterogeneous firms plays in shaping aggregate fluctuations in economic activity. In so doing, it develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which procyclical entry and countercyclical exit along a real business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120283