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Financial Globalization, Financial Crises and Contagion

Mendoza, Enrique G. - 2009

Two observations suggest that financial globalization played an important role in the recent financial crisis. First, more than half of the rise in net borrowing of the U.S. nonfinancial sectors since the mid 1980s has been financed by foreign lending. Second, the collapse of the U.S. housing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463217

Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers : The East Asian Crisis Plus 20

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We study how the financial conditions in the Center Economies [the U.S., Japan, and the Euro area] impact other … euro) makes the response of a financial variable such as the REER and exchange market pressure in the PHs more sensitive to … a change in key variables in the U.S. (or the euro area) such as policy interest rates and the REER. While having more …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455943

Credit, Prices, and Crashes : Business Cycles with a Sudden Stop

Mendoza, Enrique G. - 2001

The 1990s emerging-markets crises were characterized by sudden reversals in inflows of foreign capital followed by unusually large declines in current account deficits, private expenditures, production, and prices of nontradable goods relative to tradables. This paper shows that these Sudden...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470386

Optimal Currency Area : A 20th Century Idea For the 21st Century?

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We take stock of the history of the European Monetary Union and pegged exchange-rate regimes in recent decades. The post-Bretton Woods greater financial integration and under-regulated financial intermediation have increased the cost of sustaining a currency area and other forms of fixed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456577

Reserve Uncertainty and the Supply of International Credit

Aizenman, Joshua - 1999

This paper examines how increased uncertainty about an emerging market's international reserves affects the willingness of foreign investors to supply international credits. We illustrate the relevance of this concern for South Korea during the recent financial crisis. Using available...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471586

Fundamentals and Sovereign Risk of Emerging Markets

Aizenman, Joshua - 2013

We empirically assess the relative importance of various economic fundamentals in accounting for the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging markets during 2004-2012, which encompasses the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Inflation, state fragility, external debt, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459699

Natural Resources and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies : A Curse and a Blessing

Hamann, Franz; Mendez-Vizcaino, Juan Camilo; Mendoza, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

Emerging economies that are large oil producers have sizable external debt, their country risk rises when oil prices fall, and several of them have defaulted at least once since 1979. Moreover, while oil and non-oil output reduce country risk on impact and in the long-run, oil reserves reduce it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247980

Living with the Trilemma Constraint : Relative Trilemma Policy Divergence, Crises, and Output Losses for Developing Countries

Aizenman, Joshua - 2013

This paper investigates the potential impacts of the degree of divergence in open macroeconomic policies in the context of the trilemma hypothesis. Using an index that measures the relative policy divergence among the three trilemma policy choices, namely monetary independence, exchange rate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459214

Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?

Aizenman, Joshua - 2020

We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481987

From Sudden Stops to Fisherian Deflation : Quantitative Theory and Policy Implications

Korinek, Anton - 2013

The 1990s Sudden Stops in emerging markets were a harbinger for the 2008 global financial crisis. During Sudden Stops, countries lost access to credit, causing abrupt current account reversals, and suffered Great Recessions. This paper reviews a class of models that yields quantitative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459300

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