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Eichengreen, Barry - 2010

We describe in this essay why the gold standard and the euro are extreme forms of fixed exchange rates, and how these …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462453

Eichengreen, Barry - 2007

The possibility that the euro area might break up was being raised even before the single currency existed. These … scenarios were then lent new life five or six years on, when appreciation of the euro and problems of slow growth in various … unlikely, I argue here, that one or more members of the euro area will leave in the next ten years; total disintegration of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465257

Credit, Prices, and Crashes : Business Cycles with a Sudden Stop

Mendoza, Enrique G. - 2001

The 1990s emerging-markets crises were characterized by sudden reversals in inflows of foreign capital followed by unusually large declines in current account deficits, private expenditures, production, and prices of nontradable goods relative to tradables. This paper shows that these Sudden...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470386

The IMF in a World of Private Capital Markets

Eichengreen, Barry - 2005

The IMF attempts to stabilize private capital flows to emerging markets by providing public monitoring and emergency finance. In analyzing its role we contrast cases where banks and bondholders do the lending. Banks have a natural advantage in monitoring and creditor coordination, while bonds...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467487

What Explains Changing Spreads on Emerging-Market Debt : Fundamentals or Market Sentiment?

Eichengreen, Barry - 1998

In this paper we analyze data on nearly 1,000 developing-country bonds issued in the years 1991-96 the recent episode of heavy reliance on bonded debt. We analyze both the issue decision of debtors and the pricing decision of investors, minimizing selectivity bias by treating the two issues...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472400

Currency Mismatches, Debt Intolerance and Original Sin : Why They Are Not the Same and Why it Matters

Eichengreen, Barry - 2003

Recent years have seen the development of a large literature on balance sheet factors in emerging-market financial crises. In this paper we discuss three concepts widely used in this literature. Two of them original sin' and debt intolerance' seek to explain the same phenomenon, namely, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468660

Natural Resources and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies : A Curse and a Blessing

Hamann, Franz; Mendez-Vizcaino, Juan Camilo; Mendoza, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

Emerging economies that are large oil producers have sizable external debt, their country risk rises when oil prices fall, and several of them have defaulted at least once since 1979. Moreover, while oil and non-oil output reduce country risk on impact and in the long-run, oil reserves reduce it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247980

Imported or Home Grown? The 1992-3 EMS Crisis

Eichengreen, Barry; Naef, Alain - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Using newly assembled data on foreign exchange market intervention, we construct a daily index of exchange market pressure during the 1992-3 crisis in the European Monetary System, allowing us to pinpoint when and where the crisis was most severe. Our analysis focuses on a neglected factor in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696397

From Sudden Stops to Fisherian Deflation : Quantitative Theory and Policy Implications

Korinek, Anton - 2013

The 1990s Sudden Stops in emerging markets were a harbinger for the 2008 global financial crisis. During Sudden Stops, countries lost access to credit, causing abrupt current account reversals, and suffered Great Recessions. This paper reviews a class of models that yields quantitative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459300

Crises Now and Then : What Lessons from the Last Era of Financial Globalization

Eichengreen, Barry - 2002

We consider the operation of international capital markets in two periods of globalization, before 1914 and after 1971, with a focus on the crisis problem. We explore the idea that the incidence of crises in these two periods reflects how capital flows were embedded in the larger economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469999