We use the method of Dominitz and Manski (1996) to solicit anticipated wagedistributions for continuing to a Master degree or going to work after completing theBachelor degree. The means of the distributions have an effect on intention to continue aspredicted by theory. The dispersions in these...

We apply a recently proposed method to disentangle unobserved heterogeneity from risk in returns to education. We replicate the original study on US men and extend to US women, UK men and German men. Most original results are not robust. A college education cannot universally be considered an...