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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155380
cannot detect a signi.cant contribution of fiscal policies in stabilizing the US economy. For instance, the 2007-2009 large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434680
The empirical effectiveness of economic policies that operate theoretically through similar channels differs substantially. We document this fact by comparing an easy-to-grasp expectations-based policy, unconventional fiscal policy, with a policy whose implications are harder to understand by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290
This paper, using a microfounded macroeconomic model that embeds the key features of the Greek economy, studies the … ECB, like the PEPP, for the Greek economy? Do they help the real economy and, if yes, by how much? What would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650611
/busts, and in the presence of the zero lower bound. Studies on the effects of fiscal policy in open economy settings as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933907
control inflation and influence the economy in the usual ways. The paper discusses models of fiscal limits and their … implications and lays out a research agenda to integrate political economy and empirical considerations with general equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129132
Monetary policy decisions tend to be based on systematic analysis of alternative policy choices and their associated macroeconomic impacts: this is science. Fiscal policy choices, in contrast, spring from unsystematic speculation, grounded more in politics than economics: this is alchemy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136545
Bayesian prior predictive analysis of five nested DSGE models suggests that model specifications and prior distributions tightly circumscribe the range of possible government spending multipliers. Multipliers are decomposed into wealth and substitution effects, yielding uniform comparisons...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120209
The Chinese economy has undergone three major phases: the 1978-1997 period marked as the SOE-led economy, the 1998 …-2015 phase as the investment-driven economy, and the new normal economy since 2016. All three economies have been shaped by the … one economy to another was driven mainly by regime changes in financial policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908470
We use Bayesian prior and posterior analysis of a monetary DSGE model, extended to include fiscal details and two distinct monetary-fiscal policy regimes, to quantify government spending multipliers in U.S. data. The combination of model specification, observable data, and relatively diffuse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017938