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employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
This study documents how job seekers update perceived job-finding prospects by unemployment duration and by learning … about aggregate unemployment. We find that job seekers perceive an 18% decline in their job-finding probability for each … additional month of unemployment, but perceive a higher job-finding probability when the aggregate unemployment rate is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447261
, that frictions (sand-in-the-wheels) may decrease unemployment and that the equilibrium is determined by two simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635663
This paper studies how gradualism affects the welfare gains from trade, technology, and reforms. When people face adjustment frictions, gradual shocks create less adverse distributional effects in the short run. We show that there are welfare gains from inducing a more gradual transition via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477247
Recent empirical studies document that the distribution of earnings changes displays substantial deviations from lognormality: in particular, earnings changes are negatively skewed with extremely high kurtosis (long and thick tails), and these non-Gaussian features vary substantially both over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528338
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Expanding on an approach suggested by Ashenfelter (1984), we extend the Phillips curve to an open economy and exploit panel data to estimate the textbook 'expectations augmented' Phillips curve with a market-based and observable measure of inflation expectations. We develop this measure using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471456
and perfectly flexible prices and wages, give rise to cyclical variations in unemployment whose character closely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476976
relates measured unemployment to vacancies and to excess demand. The model has a more sophisticated treatment of dynamics than … earlier disequilibrium models, and uses measured unemployment as an endogenous variable. Two of the error terms are assumed to … estimates computed in various ways are reasonable. The model is used to estimate the natural rate of unemployment as well as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477432