Showing 1 - 10 of 97
This study documents how job seekers update perceived job-finding prospects by unemployment duration and by learning … about aggregate unemployment. We find that job seekers perceive an 18% decline in their job-finding probability for each … additional month of unemployment, but perceive a higher job-finding probability when the aggregate unemployment rate is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447261
employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
This paper studies how gradualism affects the welfare gains from trade, technology, and reforms. When people face adjustment frictions, gradual shocks create less adverse distributional effects in the short run. We show that there are welfare gains from inducing a more gradual transition via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477247
Recent empirical studies document that the distribution of earnings changes displays substantial deviations from lognormality: in particular, earnings changes are negatively skewed with extremely high kurtosis (long and thick tails), and these non-Gaussian features vary substantially both over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528338
unemployment-inflation tradeoff since 1995 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470298
, leading in turn to higher, not lower, unemployment. And, even if unemployment comes down, workers may actually be worse off …, going through many spells of unemployment and fixed duration jobs, before obtaining a regular job. Looking at French data … substantial reduction in unemployment duration. If anything, their effect on welfare of young workers appears to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470505
This paper develops the thesis that credit market frictions may be an important contributor to high unemployment in … market imperfections, so unemployment rises and remains high for an extended period. The data show that there has not been … cause of the increase in European unemployment, they may have played some role in limiting European employment growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470798
Expanding on an approach suggested by Ashenfelter (1984), we extend the Phillips curve to an open economy and exploit panel data to estimate the textbook 'expectations augmented' Phillips curve with a market-based and observable measure of inflation expectations. We develop this measure using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471456
unemployment rates for both groups. The paper provides some evidence that there has been a change in the composition of jobs in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472153
This paper studies the role of unemployment in sterling's interwar experience. According to most narrative accounts …, the proximate cause of the 1931 sterling crisis was a high and rising unemployment rate that placed pressure on British … currency crises, highlights the conflict between the objective of low unemployment and defense of the currency and show that it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472245