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Oil prices, exchange rates and asset prices
Fratzscher, Marcel; Schneider, Daniel; Van Robays, Ine - European Central Bank - 2014
This paper takes a financial market perspective in examining the relationship between oil prices, the US dollar and asset prices, and it exploits the heteroskedasticity for the identification of causality in a multifactor model. It finds a bidirectional causality between the US dollar and oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067221
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The Great Recession and the Two Dimensions of European Central Bank Credibility
Henckel, Timo; Menzies, Gordon D.; Zizzo, Daniel J. - Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National … - 2013
A puzzle from the Great Recession is an apparent mismatch between a fall in the persistence of European inflation rates, and the increased variability of expert forecasts of inflation. We explain this puzzle and show how country specific beliefs about inflation are still quite close to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904282
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Has the Euro affected the choice of invoicing currency?
Ligthart, Jenny E.; Werner, Sebastian E. V. - European Central Bank - 2012
We present a new approach to study empirically the effect of the introduction of the euro on the pattern of currency … invoicing after the introduction of the euro, whereas the home currency share of non-eurozone countries fell slightly. In … addition, the euro as a vehicle currency has overtaken the role of the US dollar in Norwegian imports. The substantial rise in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686764
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The mutating euro area crisis: is the balance between "sceptics" and "advocates" shifting?
Mongelli, Francesco Paolo - European Central Bank - 2013
The destructive potential of the sovereign debt crisis of the euro area has been slowly abating since last summer, but … euro area, and the other being an erosion of trust in the viability of the euro area itself. Such concerns have led to talk … the crisis or the future of the euro area. While the crisis is a traumatic wake-up call, it is also a catalyst for change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010688313
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One currency, one price? Euro changeover-related inflation in Estonia
Meriküll, Jaanika; Rõõm, Tairi - European Central Bank - 2014
This paper studies euro changeover-related inflation using disaggregated price level data. The difference …-in-differences approach is used and the control group for the treatment country, Estonia, is built from 12 euro area countries. The Nielsen … overall inflationary effect of euro adoption was modest, the effects were significantly different across various market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067230
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The mutating euro area crisis: is the balance between "sceptics" and "advocates" shifting?
Mongelli, Francesco Paolo - European Central Bank - 2013
The destructive potential of the sovereign debt crisis of the euro area has been slowly abating since last summer, but … euro area, and the other being an erosion of trust in the viability of the euro area itself. Such concerns have led to talk … the crisis or the future of the euro area. While the crisis is a traumatic wake-up call, it is also a catalyst for change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010693504
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Asia Rising: Emerging East Asian Economies as Foreign Investors
Hill, Hal; Jongwanich, Juthathip - Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National … - 2011
This paper documents and analyzes the rise of emerging East Asian economies as major international investors. Foreign direct investment (FDI) from these economies is rising faster than their economic growth, trade, and inward FDI, and the region is by far the most important investor from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643255
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Was unofficial dollarisation/euroisation an amplifier of the 'Great Recession' of 2007-09 in emerging economies
Chiţu, Livia - European Central Bank - 2012
This paper investigates whether, and if so why, the recent ‘Great Recession’ was more severe in unofficially dollarised/euroised economies than in other economies. To that end, the paper builds on a novel dataset on unofficial dollarisation/euroisation to test whether the latter was a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686813
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Extremal Dependence and Contagion
Fry-McKibbin, Renée; Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling - Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National … - 2014
A new test for financial market contagion based on changes in extremal dependence defined as co-kurtosis and co-volatility is developed to identify the propagation mechanism of shocks across international financial markets. The proposed approach captures changes in various aspects of the asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904225
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Asian Fragmentation in the Global Financial Crisis
Okubo, Toshihiro; Kimura, Fukunari; Teshima, Nozomu - Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National … - 2014
This paper studies the impact of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 on Japanese exports, focusing on international production networks in machinery sectors. For our survival analysis, we estimate a Cox proportional hazards model. Consequently, we find that Japanese exports to Asian countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904312