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This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by … sample from 1980 to 2000. However, historical decompositions reveal that fluctuations since the introduction of the euro in …
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This paper studies the relationship between the business cycle and financial intermediation in the euro area. We …
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We evaluate the role of financial conditions as predictors of macroeconomic risk first in the quantile regression framework of Adrian et al. (2019b), which allows for non-linearities, and then in a novel linear semi-structural model as proposed by Hasenzagl et al. (2018). We distinguish between...
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