Mutual fund managers can outperform the market by picking stocks or timing the market successfully. Previous work has … picking skills and little evidence of timing skills among successful managers. This paper estimates skill separately in booms … and recessions and finds that the extent to which managers focus on stock picking or market timing fluctuates with the …

managers that pick stocks well in expansions also time the market well in recessions. These fund managers significantly …

Mutual fund managers can outperform the market by picking stocks or timing the market successfully. Previous work has … picking skills and little evidence of timing skills among successful managers. This paper estimates skill separately in booms … and recessions and finds that the extent to which managers focus on stock picking or market timing fluctuates with the …