Showing 1 - 10 of 14
This paper focuses on some of the macroeconomic risks that lie ahead for Latin America. The discussion is informed by my work on crises and capital flows and their macroeconomic consequences. The trends and initial conditions that allowed the region to weather the global economic storm of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258911
Fashions are hard to resist, and it is now fashionable in much of the North to rely on a fiscal engine of growth. As for emerging markets, however, boosting spending at a time in which revenues are contracting or, in many cases, collapsing for an uncertain period of time is an more complicated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005108451
The paper studies a two-region economy , with two sectors and three factors of production : oil, capital and labor . The South exports oil in exchange for industrial goods from the North . There is a net capital inflow to the South . This equals the difference between its export revenues and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621716
Today's rapid and profound international evolution requires an update of the development agenda. As East-West relations alter radically and forge history, new trends in global capital markets; telecommunications and new technologies erode inexorably the old structures and alter permanently the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622030
Physical considerations alone cannot explain the volatile behavior of resource prices, or the effects these have on different regions of the world. An optimization analysis may not suffice either, since typically there are several distinct objectives: conservation, cost-minimization, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005617074
Comments on: Barry Eichengreen, Kenneth Kletzer, and Ashoka Mody who describe the debate over collective action clauses, which have been considered by the G-7,G-10, G-20, G-22, G-30, Institute of International Finance (IIF),International Monetary Fund, International Monetary and Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835825
Many of the present difficulties of the world economy have been blamed on the two oil-price explosions of the 1970s. Professor Chichilnisky shows that, at least in the case of the oil-importing developing countries, the negative effects have been overestimated. In fact, in some respects the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836490
In a recent paper, we studied economic growth and inflation at different levels of government and external debt. The public discussion of our empirical strategy and results has been somewhat muddled. Here, we attempt to clarify matters, particularly with respect sample coverage (our evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008490100
Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing--and recovering--their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, "this time is different"--claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528727
Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing--and recovering--their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, "this time is different"--claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528737