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We empirically analyze the nature of returns to scale in active mutual fund management. We find strong evidence of decreasing returns at the industry level: As the size of the active mutual fund industry increases, a fund's ability to outperform passive benchmarks declines. At the fund level,...
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-skilled managers produce larger expected total investment profits, and their portfolio weights correlate more highly with assets …' future returns. Becoming more skilled, however, can reduce a manager's expected profit if enough other managers also become … more skilled. The greater skill allows those managers to identify profit opportunities more accurately, but active …
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We develop a framework for estimating expected returnsmdash;a lt;igt;predictive systemlt;/igt;mdash;that allows predictors to be imperfectly correlated with the conditional expected return. When predictors are imperfect, the estimated expected return depends on past returns in a manner that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760469
More financially constrained firms are riskier and earn higher expected returns than less financially constrained firms, although this effect can be subsumed by size and book-to-market. Further, because the stochastic discount factor makes capital investment more procyclical, financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760623
Previous work shows that the growth rate of industrial production is a common macroeconomic risk factor in the cross-section of expected returns. We demonstrate the connection between momentum profits and shifts in factor loadings on this macroeconomic variable. Winners have temporarily higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762434
I construct a neoclassical, Q-theoretical foundation for time-varying expected returns in connection with corporate policies and events. Under certain conditions, stock return equals investment return, which is directly tied with firm characteristics. This single equation is shown analytically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762464