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Do China and oil exporters influence major currency configurations?
Fratzscher, Marcel; Mehl, Arnaud - 2008
economies (EMEs) on configurations between the US dollar, the euro and the yen. Given the difficulty that fixed or managed US … have a statistically but also an economically significant impact on the euro, and to a lesser extent the yen against the US … the appreciation of the euro against the US dollar in recent years. Interestingly, EME policy-makers appear to have become …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605019
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Optimal reserve composition in the presence of sudden stops: the euro and the dollar as safe haven currencies
Beck, Roland; Rahbari, Ebrahim - 2008
traditional portfolio objectives as debt to reserve ratios decrease. We empirically estimate optimal dollar and euro shares for 24 … reserve ratios, introducing transactions demand has a relatively modest effect. We also find that euro and dollar bonds act as … in Asia and Latin America, while the euro is a better hedge for sudden stops in Emerging Europe. We reproduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604962
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Chronicle of currency collapses: re-examining the effects on output
Bussière, Matthieu; Saxena, Sweta C.; Tovar, Camilo E. - 2010
The impact of currency collapses (i.e. large nominal depreciations or devaluations) on real output remains unsettled in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper provides new empirical evidence on this relationship using a dataset for 108 emerging and developing economies for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605272
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Estimating and analysing currency options implied risk-neutral density functions for the largest new EU member states
Castrén, Olli - 2005
, Czech Republic and Hungary vis-à-vis the euro and the US dollar to estimate the risk-neutral density (RND) functions and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604486
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Uncovered interest parity at distant horizons: evidence on emerging economies & nonlinearities
Mehl, Arnaud; Cappiello, Lorenzo - 2007
This paper tests for uncovered interest parity (UIP) at distant horizons for the US and its main trading partners, including both mature and emerging market economies, also exploring the existence of nonlinearities. At long and medium horizons, it finds support in favour of the standard, linear,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604847
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Monetary policy, housing booms and financial (im)balances
Eickmeier, Sandra; Hofmann, Boris - 2010
This paper uses a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) estimated on U.S. data in order to analyze monetary transmission via private sector balance sheets, credit risk spreads and asset markets in an integrated setup and to explore the role of monetary policy in the three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605224
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Security fungibility and the cost of capital: evidence from global bonds
Miller, Darius P.; Puthenpurackal, John J. - 2005
This paper examines the potential benefits of security fungibility by conducting the first comprehensive analysis of Global bonds. Unlike other debt securities, Global bonds’ fungibility allows them to be placed simultaneously in bond markets around the world; they trade, clear and settle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604472
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Are emerging market currency crises predictable? A test
Peltonen, Tuomas A. - 2006
This paper analyzes the predictability of emerging market currency crises by comparing the often used probit model to a new method, namely a multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network (ANN) model. According to the results, both models were able to signal currency crises reasonably well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604617
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Balance of payment crises in emerging markets: how early were the “early” warning signals?
Bussière, Matthieu - 2007
Although many papers have already proposed empirical models of currency crises, the timing of such crises has received relatively little attention so far. Most papers use indeed a static specification and impose the same lag structure across all explanatory variables. This, by construction,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604759
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Anchoring the yield curve using survey expectations
Altavilla, Carlo; Giacomini, Raffaella; Ragusa, Giuseppe - 2014
The dynamic behaviour of the term structure of interest rates is difficult to replicate with models, and even models with a proven track record of empirical performance have underperformed since the early 2000s. On the other hand, survey expectations are accurate predictors of yields, but only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605677