Evidence from credit files is provided to examine bank lending determinants of Thaicommercial banks. Their lending practice follows reasonable patterns as a standardset of variables, including indirect risk variables, explains much of the variance in interestrate spread. Reflecting institutional...

Early warning systems (EWSs) are subject to restrictions that apply to exchangerates in general: fundamentals matter but their influence is small and unstable. Despitethis limitation four major lessons emerge: First, EWSs have robust forecastingpower and thus help policy-makers to prevent...