The banking and currency crises of the last two decades inflictedsubstantial financial, economic, and social damage on thecountries in which they originated. In this work, the efficiencyof early warning indicators for these disastrous economic eventsis evaluated. An analysis of the traditional...

Even though they can last for decades, fixed exchange rate regimes are increasingly seen as temporary arrangements, (Eichengreen, 1994). The hollowing out hypothesis, see, e.g. Fischer (2001), holds that fixed but adjustable exchange rate regimes of various kinds are scheduled to disappear in...

The approach is based on the finding that new generations of currency crises theories always had developed ex post after popular currency crises. Discussing the main theories of currency crises shows their disparity: The First Generation of currency crises models argues based on the assumption...

[...]We begin by discussing the so-called first generation ofmodels, in which crises are viewed in the literature as theunavoidable result of unsustainable policies or fundamentalimbalances. Next, we survey the literature on the secondgeneration of models, which highlights the possibility of...

This paper examines the informational efficiency of loans relative to bonds surrounding loan default dates and bond default dates. We examine this issue using a unique dataset of daily secondary market prices of loans over the11/1999-06/2002 period.(...)

This paper investigates the impact of exchange rates on US Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)inflows to a sample of 16 emerging market countries using panel data for the period 1990-2002. Threevariables are used to capture separate exchange rate effects. The nominal bilateral exchange rate tothe...

The objective of this paper is to identify the determinants of office capitalization rates for a panel of 52countries (developed and emerging countries) between 2000 and 2006. Our assumption, based on a CapitalAsset Pricing Model, is that the capitalization rate should be at least proportional...