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This paper considers four competing propositions to explain the convex relationship between inventories and the cost-adjusted basis called the 'Working curve' - the convenience yield, the risk premium, data aggregation and the imbedded options value inherent to a futures contract. We use 70...
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We examine convenience yields and risk premiums in the EU-wide CO<sub>2</sub> emissions trading scheme (EU-ETS) during the first Kyoto commitment period (2008-2012). We find that the market has changed from initial backwardation to contango with significantly negative convenience yields in futures...
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We provide an empirical analysis of the relationship between spot and futures prices in interconnected regional Australian electricity markets. Examining ex-post risk premiums in futures markets, we find positive and significant risk premiums for several of the considered regions. Therefore,...
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