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Should the China-U.S. trade agreement prompt relief because it averts a damaging trade war or concern because selective preferential access for the United States to China's markets breaks multilateral rules against discrimination? The answer depends on how China implements the agreement....
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This paper presents new high-frequency data on trade policy changes targeting medical and food products since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, documenting how countries used trade policy instruments in response to the health crisis on a week-by-week basis. The data set reveals a rapid...
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To analyze the effects of prospective policy changes, sectoral and economy-wide modelers need to begin with baseline … economy theory, a set of political econometric equations and knowledge of current World Trade Organization (WTO)-bound tariffs …
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This paper attempts to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty on overall trade and trade linked to global value chains. Using new data on policy uncertainty for 18 countries and 24 years, it finds a statistically significant negative impact of policy uncertainty on overall trade...
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since 1984 compared with how much still remains, according to the results of a global economy wide model …
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