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Consumer sentiment during the Covid-19 pandemic : the role of others' beliefs

Bui, Dzung; Dräger, Lena; Hayo, Bernd; Giang Hong Nghiem - 2021

sentiment. Conducting consumer surveys with randomized control trials (RCTs) in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 … asymmetric across our sample countries, as it shows opposite appropriateness ratings of the governments’ reaction in Vietnam and … only in Vietnam, where the sign of the effect suggests that the treatments are viewed as positive news. Moreover, consumer …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500548

Subjective models of the macroeconomy : evidence from experts and a representative sample

Andre, Peter; Pizzinelli, Carlo; Roth, Christopher; … - 2019

We propose a method to measure people's subjective models of the macroeconomy. Using a sample of 2,200 households representative of the US population and a sample of more than 1,000 experts, we measure beliefs about how the unemployment rate and the inflation rate respond to four different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104048

Developing country trade access after Brexit : the UK's plans for the generalized system of preferences

Winters, Leonard Alan; Di Ubaldo, Mattia; Mendez Parra, … - Center for Global Development <Washington, DC> - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404517

The deepening China Brazil economic relationship

Whalley, John; Medianu, Dana - 2010

We document key features of the deepening economic relationship between Brazil and China. This is evident from sharply increased bilateral trade and foreign direct investment flows and also from enhanced cohesion of negotiating positions in international fora. Data presented show bilateral trade...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008806619

Substitutability and protectionism : Latin America's trade policy and imports from China and India

Facchini, Giovanni; Olarreaga, Marcelo; Silva, Peri; … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496675

World price shocks, income, and democratization

Zissimos, Benjamin - 2015

This paper shows how a world price shock can increase the likelihood that democratization must be used to resolve the threat of revolution. Initially, a ruling elite may be able to use trade policy to maintain political stability. But a world price shock can push the country into a situation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010485531

Pitfalls in the use of ad valorem equivalent representations of the trade impacts of domestic policies

Whalley, John (contributor) - 2005

Numerical simulation exercises to analyze the impacts of potential changes in non-tariff policies commonly use ad valorem equivalent tariff treatment even though estimated impacts using explicit model representation and ad valorem equivalent treatments will differ. The difficulty for modellers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003109945

A theory of trade policy under dictatorship and democratization

Zissimos, Benjamin - 2017

This paper develops a new model of trade policy under dictatorship and democratization. The paper makes two contributions. One is to provide a deeper understanding of the relationship between political institutions and economic efficiency by studying the endogenous interaction between the form...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721779

News and views on public finances : a survey experiment

Behringer, Jan; Dräger, Lena; Dullien, Sebastian; … - 2024

We use novel German survey data to investigate how perceptions and information about public finances influence attitudes towards public debt and fiscal rules. On average, people strongly underestimate the debt-to-GDP ratio, overestimate the interest-to-tax-revenue ratio and favor a tighter...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456157

The hidden heterogeneity of inflation and interest rate expectations : the role of preferences

Dräger, Lena; Lamla, Michael; Pfajfar, Damjan - 2022

Using a new consumer survey dataset, we show that macroeconomic preferences affect expectations and economic decisions through different channels. While household expectations are on average inversely related to preferences, households with the same inflation or interest rate expectations can...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166152