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Consumer sentiment during the Covid-19 pandemic : the role of others' beliefs

Bui, Dzung; Dräger, Lena; Hayo, Bernd; Giang Hong Nghiem - 2021

sentiment. Conducting consumer surveys with randomized control trials (RCTs) in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 … asymmetric across our sample countries, as it shows opposite appropriateness ratings of the governments’ reaction in Vietnam and … only in Vietnam, where the sign of the effect suggests that the treatments are viewed as positive news. Moreover, consumer …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500548

Developing country trade access after Brexit : the UK's plans for the generalized system of preferences

Winters, Leonard Alan; Di Ubaldo, Mattia; Mendez Parra, … - Center for Global Development <Washington, DC> - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404517

The deepening China Brazil economic relationship

Whalley, John; Medianu, Dana - 2010

We document key features of the deepening economic relationship between Brazil and China. This is evident from sharply increased bilateral trade and foreign direct investment flows and also from enhanced cohesion of negotiating positions in international fora. Data presented show bilateral trade...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008806619

Substitutability and protectionism : Latin America's trade policy and imports from China and India

Facchini, Giovanni; Olarreaga, Marcelo; Silva, Peri; … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496675

Pitfalls in the use of ad valorem equivalent representations of the trade impacts of domestic policies

Whalley, John (contributor) - 2005

Numerical simulation exercises to analyze the impacts of potential changes in non-tariff policies commonly use ad valorem equivalent tariff treatment even though estimated impacts using explicit model representation and ad valorem equivalent treatments will differ. The difficulty for modellers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003109945

News and views on public finances : a survey experiment

Behringer, Jan; Dräger, Lena; Dullien, Sebastian; … - 2024

We use novel German survey data to investigate how perceptions and information about public finances influence attitudes towards public debt and fiscal rules. On average, people strongly underestimate the debt-to-GDP ratio, overestimate the interest-to-tax-revenue ratio and favor a tighter...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456157

The misspecification of expectations in New Keynesian models : a DSGE-VAR approach

Cole, Stephen J.; Milani, Fabio - 2016

This paper tests the ability of popular New Keynesian models, which are traditionally used to study monetary policy and business cycles, to match the data regarding a key channel for monetary transmission: the dynamic interactions between macroeconomic variables and their corresponding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541080

The hidden heterogeneity of inflation and interest rate expectations : the role of preferences

Dräger, Lena; Lamla, Michael; Pfajfar, Damjan - 2022

Using a new consumer survey dataset, we show that macroeconomic preferences affect expectations and economic decisions through different channels. While household expectations are on average inversely related to preferences, households with the same inflation or interest rate expectations can...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166152

Heterogeneous expectations, indeterminacy, and postwar US business cycles

Ilabaca, Francisco; Milani, Fabio - 2020

This paper estimates a New Keynesian model extended to include heterogeneous expectations, to revisit the evidence that postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot-driven fluctuations in the pre-1979 sample, with a switch...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200338

Consumers' macroeconomic expectations

Dräger, Lena; Lamla, Michael - 2023

After the financial crisis of 2008, central banks around the world have increased their communication efforts to reach consumers, with the aim of both guiding and anchoring their inflation expectations. For the expectations channel of monetary policy to work as intended, central banks need a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383922