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Consumer sentiment during the Covid-19 pandemic : the role of others' beliefs

Bui, Dzung; Dräger, Lena; Hayo, Bernd; Giang Hong Nghiem - 2021

sentiment. Conducting consumer surveys with randomized control trials (RCTs) in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 … asymmetric across our sample countries, as it shows opposite appropriateness ratings of the governments’ reaction in Vietnam and … only in Vietnam, where the sign of the effect suggests that the treatments are viewed as positive news. Moreover, consumer …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500548

The 2020 US presidential election and Trump's trade war

Lake, James; Nie, Jun - 2022

The trade war initiated by the Trump administration is the largest since the US imposed the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in the 1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election. Our results highlight the political salience of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171058

Developing country trade access after Brexit : the UK's plans for the generalized system of preferences

Winters, Leonard Alan; Di Ubaldo, Mattia; Mendez Parra, … - Center for Global Development <Washington, DC> - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404517

Did COVID-19 cost Trump the election?

Lake, James; Nie, Jun - 2021

A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the pandemic helped Trump. However, we find substantial evidence that voters abandoned Trump in counties with large increases in health insurance coverage since the Affordable Care Act,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123

The deepening China Brazil economic relationship

Whalley, John; Medianu, Dana - 2010

We document key features of the deepening economic relationship between Brazil and China. This is evident from sharply increased bilateral trade and foreign direct investment flows and also from enhanced cohesion of negotiating positions in international fora. Data presented show bilateral trade...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008806619

Substitutability and protectionism : Latin America's trade policy and imports from China and India

Facchini, Giovanni; Olarreaga, Marcelo; Silva, Peri; … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496675

Pitfalls in the use of ad valorem equivalent representations of the trade impacts of domestic policies

Whalley, John (contributor) - 2005

Numerical simulation exercises to analyze the impacts of potential changes in non-tariff policies commonly use ad valorem equivalent tariff treatment even though estimated impacts using explicit model representation and ad valorem equivalent treatments will differ. The difficulty for modellers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003109945

News and views on public finances : a survey experiment

Behringer, Jan; Dräger, Lena; Dullien, Sebastian; … - 2024

We use novel German survey data to investigate how perceptions and information about public finances influence attitudes towards public debt and fiscal rules. On average, people strongly underestimate the debt-to-GDP ratio, overestimate the interest-to-tax-revenue ratio and favor a tighter...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456157

The hidden heterogeneity of inflation and interest rate expectations : the role of preferences

Dräger, Lena; Lamla, Michael; Pfajfar, Damjan - 2022

Using a new consumer survey dataset, we show that macroeconomic preferences affect expectations and economic decisions through different channels. While household expectations are on average inversely related to preferences, households with the same inflation or interest rate expectations can...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166152

Consumers' macroeconomic expectations

Dräger, Lena; Lamla, Michael - 2023

After the financial crisis of 2008, central banks around the world have increased their communication efforts to reach consumers, with the aim of both guiding and anchoring their inflation expectations. For the expectations channel of monetary policy to work as intended, central banks need a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383922