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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498899
The empirical effectiveness of economic policies that operate theoretically through similar channels differs substantially. We document this fact by comparing an easy-to-grasp expectations-based policy, unconventional fiscal policy, with a policy whose implications are harder to understand by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290
This paper uses a new dataset on the universe of Canadian imports and tariffs between 1924 and 1936, disaggregated into 1697 goods originating in 112 countries, to analyse the impact on Canadian imports of interwar Canadian trade policy, including the 1932 Ottawa trade agreements. Rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014275962
imports can also occur. These models when calibrated to 1995 data for Vietnam also suggest quantitatively much larger impacts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781577
sentiment. Conducting consumer surveys with randomized control trials (RCTs) in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 … asymmetric across our sample countries, as it shows opposite appropriateness ratings of the governments’ reaction in Vietnam and … only in Vietnam, where the sign of the effect suggests that the treatments are viewed as positive news. Moreover, consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500548
We propose a method to measure people's subjective models of the macroeconomy. Using a sample of 2,200 households representative of the US population and a sample of more than 1,000 experts, we measure beliefs about how the unemployment rate and the inflation rate respond to four different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104048
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012439284
The objective of this manuscript is to serve as a practical guide for estimations with the structural gravity model. After a brief review of the theoretical foundations, we summarize the main challenges with gravity estimations and we review the solutions to address those challenges. Then, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509468
The trade war initiated by the Trump administration is the largest since the US imposed the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in the 1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election. Our results highlight the political salience of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171058
and uncertainty shocks. Voting for Brexit had large negative effects on the UK economy between 2016 and 2019, leading to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806478