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This paper uses a new dataset on the universe of Canadian imports and tariffs between 1924 and 1936, disaggregated into 1697 goods originating in 112 countries, to analyse the impact on Canadian imports of interwar Canadian trade policy, including the 1932 Ottawa trade agreements. Rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014275962
protectionist government stimulated the economy in the short-run by increasing government expenditure. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387616
“Trade Policy Reviews” analyse the trade policies and practices of each member of the WTO. The reviews consist of three parts: an independent report by the WTO Secretariat, a report by the government, and the concluding remarks by the Chair of the WTO’s Trade Policy Review Body. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012883376
economy using Bayesian methods. We find that the model captures the key dynamics of the period surprisingly well. Importantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489289
The objective of this manuscript is to serve as a practical guide for estimations with the structural gravity model. After a brief review of the theoretical foundations, we summarize the main challenges with gravity estimations and we review the solutions to address those challenges. Then, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509468
The trade war initiated by the Trump administration is the largest since the US imposed the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in the 1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election. Our results highlight the political salience of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171058
and uncertainty shocks. Voting for Brexit had large negative effects on the UK economy between 2016 and 2019, leading to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806478
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the pandemic helped Trump. However, we find substantial evidence that voters abandoned Trump in counties with large increases in health insurance coverage since the Affordable Care Act,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123
We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293757
We use an empirical gravity equation approach to study how nonreciprocal trade preferences (NRTPs), enacted mainly through the Generalized System of Preferences, affect the exports of the beneficiary nations. In line with existing studies, the average trade effect stemming from nonreciprocal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011924652