Showing 1 - 10 of 16
imports can also occur. These models when calibrated to 1995 data for Vietnam also suggest quantitatively much larger impacts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781577
The paper contributes to the growing global VAR (GVAR) literature by showing how global and national shocks can be identified within a GVAR framework. The usefulness of the proposed approach is illustrated in an application to the analysis of the interactions between public debt and real output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956353
We investigate the long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change across 48 U.S. states over the period 1963.2016 using a novel econometric strategy which links deviations of temperature and precipitation (weather) from their long-term moving-average historical norms (climate) to various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806494
We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries, using a stochastic growth model where labour productivity is affected by country-specific climate variables. defined as deviations of temperature and precipitation from their historical norms. Using a panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031151
This paper develops a long run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil … set on the Iranian economy over the period 1979Q1-2006Q4. Building an error correction specification in real output, real … the world. We also find that the Iranian economy adjusts quite quickly to the shocks in foreign output and oil exports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897747
We document key features of the deepening economic relationship between Brazil and China. This is evident from sharply increased bilateral trade and foreign direct investment flows and also from enhanced cohesion of negotiating positions in international fora. Data presented show bilateral trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008806619
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496675
Numerical simulation exercises to analyze the impacts of potential changes in non-tariff policies commonly use ad valorem equivalent tariff treatment even though estimated impacts using explicit model representation and ad valorem equivalent treatments will differ. The difficulty for modellers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003109945
for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a … after the shock). We then re-examine the effects of low oil prices on the US economy over different sub-periods using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502542
We provide survey evidence on how households’ inflation expectations matter for their spending highlighting a behavioral distortion compared to the New Keynesian setup. A large share of households expects prices to remain stable instead of increasing. Such a belief is linked to individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499658