Showing 1 - 10 of 19
The paper contributes to the growing global VAR (GVAR) literature by showing how global and national shocks can be identified within a GVAR framework. The usefulness of the proposed approach is illustrated in an application to the analysis of the interactions between public debt and real output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956353
We investigate the long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change across 48 U.S. states over the period 1963.2016 using a novel econometric strategy which links deviations of temperature and precipitation (weather) from their long-term moving-average historical norms (climate) to various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806494
We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries, using a stochastic growth model where labour productivity is affected by country-specific climate variables. defined as deviations of temperature and precipitation from their historical norms. Using a panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031151
This paper develops a long run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil … set on the Iranian economy over the period 1979Q1-2006Q4. Building an error correction specification in real output, real … the world. We also find that the Iranian economy adjusts quite quickly to the shocks in foreign output and oil exports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897747
The objective of this manuscript is to serve as a practical guide for evaluation of the general equilibrium (GE) effects of trade policy using the structural gravity model. We try to achieve this objective in four steps. First, we focus on the original Armington-CES gravity model, as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515400
We propose a simple and flexible econometric approach to quantify ex-ante the "deep" impact of trade liberalization and the "hard" effects of protection with the empirical structural gravity model. Specifically, we argue that the difference between the estimates of border indicator variables for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599928
We challenge the common practice of estimating gravity equations with time-interval data in order to capture dynamic-adjustment effects to trade-policy changes. Instead, we point to a series of advantages of using consecutive-year data recognizing dynamic-adjustment effects. Our analysis reveals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287795
We propose a simple method to identify the effects of unilateral and non-discriminatory trade policies on bilateral trade within a theoretically-consistent empirical gravity model. Specifically, we argue that structural gravity estimations should be performed with data that include not only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750135
for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a … after the shock). We then re-examine the effects of low oil prices on the US economy over different sub-periods using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502542
We develop a simple estimation procedure for general equilibrium (GE) comparative static analysis of gravity models. Non-linear solvers of estimated models are replaced by (constrained) regressions. Applied economists can more readily generate results, with more intuition about the working of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384362