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India’s Recent Macroeconomic Performance: An Assessment and Way Forward
Kapur, Muneesh; Mohan, Rakesh - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
The macroeconomic policy response in India after the North Atlantic financial crisis (NAFC) was rapid. The overshooting of the stimulus and its gradual withdrawal sowed seeds for inflationary and BoP pressures and growth slowdown, then exacerbated by domestic policy bottlenecks and volatility in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142116
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Vietnam; Bayesian Estimation of Output Gap
Maliszewski, Wojciech - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
The paper constructs a new output gap measure for Vietnam by applying Bayesian methods to a two-equation AS-AD model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560446
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Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
This paper employs several econometric techniques to estimate the Armenian output gap. The findings indicate that the output gap is significantly positive in 2007 and 2008 and decreased dramatically in 2009. The paper uses these results to estimate a New Keynesian Phillips curve for Armenia,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671293
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Commodity Price Shocks and Imperfectly Credible Macroeconomic Policies in Commodity-Exporting Small Open Economies
Guzman, Juan Pablo Medina; Soto, Claudio - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
effectiveness of macroeconomic policies to isolate the economy from commodity price fluctuations. We develop a general equilibrium … model for a commodity-exporting economy where macro policies are conducted through rules. We show that the responses of … isolate the economy from terms of trade fluctuations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790403
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Impact of Demographic Changes on Inflation and the Macroeconomy
Yoon, Jong-Won; Kim, Jinill; Lee, Jungjin - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
population, which will have significant impact on the global economy. Despite potentially grave consequences, demographic changes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123847
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The Flexible System of Global Models – FSGM
Andrle, Michal; Blagrave, Patrick; Espaillat, Pedro; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
The Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) is a group of models developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis. A typical module of FSGM is a multi-region, forward-looking semi-structural global model consisting of 24 regions. Using the three core modules focused on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242191
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Spillovers in the Nordic Countries
Mircheva, Borislava; Muir, Dirk - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden form a tightly integrated region which has strong ties with the euro area as well as some exposure to Russia. Using the IMF’s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF), we examine spillovers the region could face, focusing on possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242239
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Pressing the Indian Growth Accelerator: Policy Imperatives
Mohan, Rakesh; Kapur, Muneesh - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
India’s real GDP growth slipped substantially after the North Atlantic financial crisis. Return to a sustained high growth trajectory is feasible but it will need much more focused attention to the revival of manufacturing and to the acceleration of investment in transport and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242441
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Getting to Know GIMF; The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model
Anderson, Derek; Hunt, Ben; Kortelainen, Mika; Kumhof, … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
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Output Gap Uncertainty and Real-Time Monetary Policy
Grigoli, Francesco; Herman, Alexander; Swiston, Andrew; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
Output gap estimates are subject to a wide range of uncertainty owing to data revisions and the difficulty in distinguishing between cycle and trend in real time. This is important given the central role in monetary policy of assessments of economic activity relative to capacity. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163120