Think long / George P. Shultz -- Policy principles : lessons from the Fed's past / Allan H. Meltzer -- The market view : incentives matter / Peter Fisher -- Monetary policy in the financial crisis / Donald Kohn -- Concerns about the Fed's new balance sheet / James D. Hamilton -- The need for a...

"This paper shows that the theory of monetary policy rules is able to explain, predict, and help understand a variety of phenomenon in macroeconomics and finance, including the Great Moderation, the correlation between exchange rates and interest rates, and the shift in the response of the term...