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This paper studies commodity spot, forward, and futures prices under a continuous-time setting. Our model considers a representative firm, which uses an input commodity to produce an output commodity, stores the commodity, and trades forward or futures commodities to hedge. Through the...
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This article investigates the relationship between expected returns and past idiosyncratic volatility in commodity futures markets. Measuring the idiosyncratic volatility of 27 commodity futures contracts with traditional pricing models that fail to account for backwardation and contango leads...
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This paper analyzes the relation between commodity spot, forward prices, and convenience yield under incomplete markets. We model a maximization profit model of a firm that uses input commodities in order to produce output commodities while storing spot commodities and trading forward to hedge...
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