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Housing market convergence : evidence from Germany

Unal, Umut; Hayo, Bernd; Erol, Isil - 2022

This paper provides an analysis of the convergence pattern of German housing prices and rents employing a new dataset … that covers all the country's administrative districts. In addition to conventional tests for 𝛽-convergence and 𝜎-convergence … districts. Our results reveal no evidence of convergence across Germany or within states; rather, we discover widespread …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460037

Economic growth and business cycle forecasting at the regional level

Lehmann, Robert - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441957

A real-time regional accounts database for Germany with applications to GDP revisions and nowcasting

Lehmann, Robert - In: Empirical economics : a quarterly journal of the … 67 (2024) 2, pp. 817-838

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015048846

Economic Growth and Business Cycle Forecasting at the Regional Level

Lehmann, Robert - 2016

A key goal of politicians is to ensure a sustainable and stable economic growth path for their domestic economy. Economic forecasts are powerful tools for reducing uncertainty about future economic growth. While most of the research conducted to date has focused on nation states, this thesis by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011698355

Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2012

In this paper, we assess the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts at the regional level using a unique data set at quarterly frequency. We forecast gross domestic product (GDP) for two German states (Free State of Saxony and Baden-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288471

Boosting and regional economic forecasting : the case dof Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2016

This paper applies component-wise boosting to the topic of regional economic forecasting. Component-wise boosting is a pre-selection algorithm of indicators for forecasting. By using unique quarterly real gross domestic product data for two German states (the Free State of Saxony and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557750

Quarterly GDP estimates for the German states

Lehmann, Robert; Wikman, Ida - 2022

To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2020, thereby improving the regional database in Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013173579

Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630640

Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting : The Case of Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315480

Regional industrial effects in Germany from a potential gas deficit

Lehmann, Robert; Schult, Christoph - 2023 - This version: October 12, 2023

We estimate potential regional industrial effects in case of a threatening gas deficit. For Germany, the reduction leads to a potential decrease in industrial value added by 1.6%. The heterogeneity across German states is remarkable, ranging from 2.2% for Rhineland-Palatinate to 0.7% for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384027