unemployment rates about the behavior of labor markets and the causes of joblessness are useful. …

The informational value of the aggregate US unemployment rate has recently been questioned because of a unit root in … the labor-force participation rate; the lack of mean reversion implies that long-run changes in unemployment rates are … highly unlikely to reflect long-run changes in joblessness. This paper shows that this critique also extends to unemployment …

force participation is high and the unemployment rate is low (also for young workers). Among the unemployed there are … the relevant labor market in-stitutions in the Netherlands and use recent reforms to assess the importance of the …

This paper proposes an empirical method for estimating a long-run trend for the unemployment rate that is grounded in … the modern theory of unemployment. I write down an unobserved components model and identify the cyclical and trend … components of the underlying unemployment flows, which in turn imply a time varying estimate of the unemployment trend, the …

Using recent results in the measurement error literature, we show that the official U.S. unemployment rates … substantially underestimate the true levels of unemployment, due to misclassification errors in labor force status in Current …. During the period of 1996 to 2009, the corrected monthly unemployment rates are 1 to 4.6 percentage points (25% to 45 …