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and Sweden). We conduct inference with mixed frequency data, combining quarterly series for unemployment, vacancies, GDP …, consumption, and investment, with annual data on unemployment flows. Parameters and shocks are estimated separately for each … country, which can then vary in terms of search and hiring costs, workers' bargaining power, unemployment benefits levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114011
This paper develops a rational expectations model with multiple equilibrium unemployment rates where the price of … a permanent reduction in wealth and consumption and a permanent increase in the unemployment rate. My work suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123693
-for-dollar, while European unemployment rises one-for-one. We consider a stylized game of the choice of factor market institutions … autarky to free trade doubles the European unemployment rate, while it raises the American unskilled wage to the high European … level. Entry of the unskilled South to world markets raises unemployment in Europe. But Europe's commitment to the high wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125263
The decline in the employment-population ratios for men and women over the period 2000-2007 prior to the Great Recession represents an historic turnaround in the evolution of U.S. employment. The decline is disproportionately concentrated among the less educated and younger groups within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098143
-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099123
document that large inflationary spikes appear to help unemployment to get back to pre-crisis levels. However, the counterpart …. This suggests that currency depreciation can help reduce unemployment only insofar as it is associated with inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072345
retirement spells has been steadily increasing. We estimate the response of retirement timing to variations in unemployment rate …, inflation and housing prices. Flows into both full and partial retirement increase significantly when the unemployment rate … rises. Workers around normal retirement age are especially sensitive to variations in the unemployment rate. Workers who are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072875
This paper first documents trends in employment rates and then reviews what is known about the various factors that have been proposed to explain the decline in the overall employment-to-population ratio between 1999 and 2018. Population aging has had a large effect on the overall employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927021
unemployment rate has been about 0.8 percentage points higher than if average inflation had been on target. This is a large … unemployment cost of undershooting the inflation target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075868
labor markets. We find that workers age 62 to 69 are responsive to the unemployment rate and to long-run fluctuations in … the rising unemployment rate will be almost 50 percent larger than the decrease in retirement brought about by the stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150735