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and Sweden). We conduct inference with mixed frequency data, combining quarterly series for unemployment, vacancies, GDP …, consumption, and investment, with annual data on unemployment flows. Parameters and shocks are estimated separately for each … country, which can then vary in terms of search and hiring costs, workers' bargaining power, unemployment benefits levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114011
This paper develops a rational expectations model with multiple equilibrium unemployment rates where the price of … a permanent reduction in wealth and consumption and a permanent increase in the unemployment rate. My work suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123693
-for-dollar, while European unemployment rises one-for-one. We consider a stylized game of the choice of factor market institutions … autarky to free trade doubles the European unemployment rate, while it raises the American unskilled wage to the high European … level. Entry of the unskilled South to world markets raises unemployment in Europe. But Europe's commitment to the high wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125263
The decline in the employment-population ratios for men and women over the period 2000-2007 prior to the Great Recession represents an historic turnaround in the evolution of U.S. employment. The decline is disproportionately concentrated among the less educated and younger groups within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098143
-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099123
The recession of 2007-09 witnessed high rates of unemployment that have been slow to recede. This has led many to … unemployment that prevailed in the recent past. Is this true? The question is important because central banks may be able to reduce … unemployment that is cyclic in nature, but not that which is structural. An analysis of labor market data suggests that there are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100675
In response to the Great Recession, the availability of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits was extended to an … individual exit from unemployment, and we compare the estimated impact with that for the prior extension of benefits during the … unemployment exit rate and a small increase in the expected duration of unemployment. The effects on exits and duration are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081844
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073559
The Great Recession tested the ability of the "great U.S. jobs machine" to limit the severity of unemployment in a … live up to expectations. The level and duration of unemployment increased substantially in the downturn and the growth of … institution-driven labor adjustments and the notion that weak labor institutions and greater market flexibility offer the best …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073572
This paper first documents trends in employment rates and then reviews what is known about the various factors that have been proposed to explain the decline in the overall employment-to-population ratio between 1999 and 2018. Population aging has had a large effect on the overall employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927021