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Import competition and the great US employment sag of the 2000s
Acemoglu, Daron; Autor, David H.; Dorn, David; Hanson, … - 2015
Even before the Great Recession, U.S. employment growth was unimpressive. Between 2000 and 2007, the economy gave back the considerable employment gains achieved during the 1990s, with a historic contraction in manufacturing employment being a prime contributor to the slump. We estimate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528328
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When Work Disappears : Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage-Market Value of Young Men
Autor, David H. - 2018
We exploit the gender-specific components of large-scale labor demand shocks stemming from rising international manufacturing competition to test how shifts in the relative economic stature of young men versus young women affected marriage, fertility and children's living circumstances during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920450
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When work disappears : manufacturing decline and the falling marriage-market value of young men
Autor, David H.; Dorn, David; Hanson, Gordon H. - 2018
We exploit the gender-specific components of large-scale labor demand shocks stemming from rising international manufacturing competition to test how shifts in the relative economic stature of young men versus young women affected marriage, fertility and children's living circumstances during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011845495
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Import Competition and the Great U.S. Employment Sag of the 2000s
Acemoglu, Daron - 2015
Even before the Great Recession, U.S. employment growth was unimpressive. Between 2000 and 2007, the economy gave back the considerable employment gains achieved during the 1990s, with a historic contraction in manufacturing employment being a prime contributor to the slump. We estimate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021701
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The Ins and Outs of Unemployment in the Long Run: Unemployment Flows and the Natural Rate
Tasci, Murat - 2012
This paper proposes an empirical method for estimating a long-run trend for the unemployment rate that is grounded in … the modern theory of unemployment. I write down an unobserved components model and identify the cyclical and trend … components of the underlying unemployment flows, which in turn imply a time varying estimate of the unemployment trend, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500228
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The ins and outs of unemployment in the long run : unemployment flows and the natural rate
Tasci, Murat - 2012 - This version: October 2012, First version: August 2010
This paper proposes an empirical method for estimating a long-run trend for the unemployment rate that is grounded in … the modern theory of unemployment. I write down an unobserved components model and identify the cyclical and trend … components of the underlying unemployment flows, which in turn imply a time varying estimate of the unemployment trend, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009668477
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The Ins and Outs of Unemployment in the Long Run : A New Estimate for the Natural Rate?
Tasci, Murat - 2011
uncover the trend changes in these flows, which determine the trend in the unemployment rate. We argue that this trend rate … margin after 2000, pushing trend unemployment up. But the trend in the separation rate has somewhat offset that effect, with … unemployment rate, most of the low-frequency variation in the rate can be accounted for by changes in the trend of the separation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132287
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The Ins and Outs of Unemployment in the Long Run : Unemployment Flows and the Natural Rate
Tasci, Murat - 2012
This paper proposes an empirical method for estimating a long-run trend for the unemployment rate that is grounded in … the modern theory of unemployment. I write down an unobserved-components model and identify the cyclical and trend … components of the underlying unemployment flows, which in turn imply a time-varying estimate of the unemployment trend, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098216
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Unemployment Flows, Participation, and the Natural Rate for Turkey
Sengul, Gonul - 2015
This paper measures flow rates into and out of unemployment for Turkey and uses them to estimate the unemployment rate … trend, that is, the unemployment rate to which the economy converges in the long run. In doing so, the paper explores the … role of labor force participation in determining the unemployment rate trend. We find an inverse V-shaped pattern for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032138
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When work disappears : manufacturing decline and the falling marriage market value of young men
Autor, David H.; Dorn, David; Hanson, Gordon H. - 2018
We exploit the gender-specific components of large-scale labor demand shocks stemming from rising international manufacturing competition to test how shifts in the relative economic stature of young men versus young women affected marriage, fertility and children's living circumstances during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844558