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Forecasting the real output using fractionally integrated techniques

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994), we show that the series can be specified in terms of I(d) statistical models with d...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608

Nonparametric specification testing for continuous-time models with application to spot interest rates

Hong, Yongmiao; Li, Haitao - 2002

; Parameter estimation uncertainty ; Probability integral transform ; Quadratic form ; Short-term interest rate ; Transition …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621413

Deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017

The empirical determinants of the Euro : short and long run perspectives

Chinn, Menzie David - 2000

The behavior of the dollar/euro exchange rate is modeled using a monetary model of the exchange rate. The econometric … analysis is complicated by the short sample span of actual euro data available for analysis. Hence, data on a "synthetic" euro …, is identified for the 1991M08-1999M12 period using the Johansen procedure. The model implies that the euro was …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583879

What determines real exchange rates? : The long and short of it

MacDonald, Ronald - 1997

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000961158

The fundamental determinants of the real exchange rate of the US dollar relative to other G-7 currencies

Stein, Jerome L. - 1995

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000554604

Current account reversals and currency crises : empirical regularities

Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria; Razin, Asaf - 1998

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000992355

Consistent testing for stochastic dominance under general sampling schemes

Linton, Oliver (contributor); … - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916170

On large deviations in testing Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type models with delay

Gapeev, P. V. (contributor); Küchler, U. (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917044

A joint test of fractional cyclic integration and a linear time trend

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

We propose in this article a joint test for testing simultaneously a deterministic trend component and the degree of integration of the cyclical component in a given time series. The test is directly derived from Robinson's (1994) procedure, which is based on the Lagrange Multiplier (LM)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613609