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Optimal Currency Area : A 20th Century Idea for the 21st Century?

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We take stock of the history of the European Monetary Union and pegged exchange-rate regimes in recent decades. The post-Bretton Woods greater financial integration and under-regulated financial intermediation have increased the cost of sustaining a currency area and other forms of fixed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996468

Fundamentals and Sovereign Risk of Emerging Markets

Aizenman, Joshua - 2013

We empirically assess the relative importance of various economic fundamentals in accounting for the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging markets during 2004-2012, which encompasses the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Inflation, state fragility, external debt, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083389

Emerging Markets Sovereign CDS Spreads During Covid-19 : Economics Versus Epidemiology News

Daehler, Timo; Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin - 2021

Can bad news about COVID-19 induce negative expectations on sovereign credit risks? We investigate the factors driving credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging market sovereigns around the outbreak of COVID-19. Using 2014-2019 data, we estimate a two-factor model of global and regional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236709

Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Park, Donghyun; … - 2022

We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321908

Flexibility of Adjustment to Shocks : Economic Growth and Volatility of Middle-Income Countries Before and after the Global Financial Crisis of 2008

Aizenman, Joshua - 2017

The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954940

From the Great Moderation to the Global Crisis : Exchange Market Pressure in the 2000s

Aizenman, Joshua; Lee, Jaewoo; Sushko, Vladyslav - 2021

This paper investigates the factors explaining exchange market pressures (EMP) and the hoarding and use of international reserves (IR) by emerging markets during the 2000s, as the Great Moderation turned to the 2008-9 global crisis and great recession. According to our results, both financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311931

Domestic and Multilateral Effects of Capital Controls in Emerging Markets

Pasricha, Gurnain Kaur - 2015

Using a novel, high frequency dataset on capital control actions in 16 emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2001 to 2012, we provide new insights into the domestic and multilateral effects of capital controls. Increases in capital account openness reduce monetary policy autonomy and increase...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030625

Credit Ratings and the Pricing of Sovereign Debt During the Euro Crisis

Aizenman, Joshua - 2013

now highly-sensitive GIIPS group and other European country groupings (EU and Euro Area excluding GIIPS, and the non … in GIIPS to other euro countries is not evident once own-country credit rating changes are taken into account …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080412

Large Hoarding of International Reserves and the Emerging Global Economic Architecture

Aizenman, Joshua - 2007

This paper analyzes competing interpretations for the large increases in the hoarding of international reserves by developing countries. While the first phase of the rapid hoarding of reserves in the aftermath of the East Asian crisis has been dominated by self insurance against exposure to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776454

The Currency Composition of International Reserves, Demand for International Reserves, and Global Safe Assets

Aizenman, Joshua - 2019

Financial Crisis (GFC). Applying the annual data of 58 countries, we confirm that countries that trade more with the US, euro … zone, UK, and Japan, and issue more debt denominated in the big four currencies (US dollar, euro, pound, yen) hoard more IR … economic factors. We also find that TARGET2 balances matter for the currency composition in the euro zone; commodity …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868738