Showing 1 - 10 of 12
currency? Unlike ten years ago, there now exists a credible competitor: the euro. This paper econometrically estimates … (we estimate a weight on the preceding year's currency share around .9). The advent of the euro interrupts the continuity … equation correctly predicts a (small) narrowing in the gap between the dollar and euro over the period 1999-2004. Whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105149
The euro has arisen as a credible eventual competitor to the dollar as leading international currency, much as the … euro over the period 1999-2007. This paper updates calculations regarding possible scenarios for the future. We exclude the … the de facto financial center of the euro, more so than Frankfurt. We also assume that the dollar continues in the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759417
This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 … the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. We find that each percentage point in the US-Euro area … estimation methodology, the variables included in the regression, and the sample period. We conjecture that productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247630
Using the "trilemma indexes" developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma--monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness--we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145228
We report findings from a survey of United States foreign exchange traders. Our results indicate that: (i) The share of customer business, versus interbank business, has remained fairly constant; (ii) The channels by which transactions take place have changed, as electronically-brokered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774807
Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination, following Meese and Rogoff (1983) have focused upon a narrow set of models. Cheung et al. (2005) augmented the usual suspects with productivity based models, and "behavioral equilibrium exchange rate" models, and assessed performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960174
between the center economies (CEs, i.e., the U.S., Japan, and the Euro area), and the peripheral economies (PHs). We find a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941469
We investigate the strength of the Penn effect in the most recent version of the Penn World Tables (PWTs). We find that the earlier findings of a Penn effect are confirmed, but that there is some evidence for nonlinearity. Developed and developing countries display different types of nonlinear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984753
characteristics of these differing series are examined, including the exchange rates for the U.S., the euro area and several East …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222072
Survey data on a broad cross section of 17 currencies are used to determine whether the forward discount moves primarily in response to changes in expectations of depreciation, or in the risk premium. We find that changes in expected depreciation are quantitatively significant. However we also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226178