The possibility that the euro area might break up was being raised even before the single currency existed. These … scenarios were then lent new life five or six years on, when appreciation of the euro and problems of slow growth in various … unlikely, I argue here, that one or more members of the euro area will leave in the next ten years; total disintegration of the …

The possibility that the euro area might break up was being raised even before the single currency existed. These … scenarios were then lent new life five or six years on, when appreciation of the euro and problems of slow growth in various … unlikely, I argue here, that one or more members of the euro area will leave in the next ten years; total disintegration of the …

Is the Euro area as a whole, or are individual Euro-area member countries facing a period of sustained lower economic …, we expand our model to incorporate the financial cycle. We estimate the model for the Euro area as a whole and for nine … Euro-area member countries. Incorporating the financial cycle changes the estimated equilibrium real interest rates: For …