This article investigates the relationship between expected returns and past idiosyncratic volatility in commodity futures markets. Measuring the idiosyncratic volatility of 27 commodity futures contracts with traditional pricing models that fail to account for backwardation and contango leads...

We study the role of distance and time in statistically explaining price dispersion across 32 Swedish towns for 19 commodities from 1732 to 1914. The resulting large number of relative prices (502,689) allows precise estimation of distance and time effects, and their interaction. We find an...

We extend the Cole and Obstfeld model in a number of directions to more accurately assess the terms of trade channel. Two crucial theoretical extensions are: to allow multiple producers of each primary commodity and to allow for incomplete specialization.We find that the negative correlation...