In this paper we introduce a new two-factor commodity term structure model for which inventories serve as a second state variable. We derive a closed-form formula for futures prices and empirically analyze the model's properties. Besides being economically appealing, our model also outperforms...

This paper contributes to the theories commodity prices and exhaustible resources by examining simultaneous optimal resource extraction and dynamic capacity building. I analyze the ways in which random demand process and irreversible capacity options shape the long-term price and volatility path...