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The determinants of the euro-dollar exchange rate: synthetic fundamentals and a non-existing currency
Clostermann, Jörg; Schnatz, Bernd - 2000
At the beginning of 1999 the euro was launched as a common currency in 11 European countries. This paper addresses … empirically the medium to long-term forces driving the real euro-dollar exchange rate. Constructing a synthetic euro … determinants of the real euro-dollar exchange rate: the international real interest rate differential, relative prices in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295690
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Foreign Bank Entry into Emerging Economies: An Empirical Assessment of the Determinants and Risks Predicated on German FDI Data
Wezel, Torsten - 2004
The paper investigates the factors crucial in the locational decisions of multinational German banks in selected emerging markets of central and eastern Europe, Latin America and Asia between 1994 and 2001. Emphasis is placed on testing variables of macroeconomic and financial sector risk along...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295628
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Does co-financing by multilateral development banks increase "risky" direct investment in emerging markets?
Wezel, Torsten - 2004
The paper discusses the question of whether financial participation of multilateral development banks does prompt private investors to inject more risky equity capital in emerging market banks. Using a theoretical model, it is stipulated that the presence of an official lender in a project gives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295629
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Consumption Smoothing Across States and Time: International Insurance vs. Foreign Loans
von Furstenberg, George M. - 2004
When countries, and macroeconomic models, open up to international capital markets, the welfare gains available through completion of financial markets for contingencies potentially are much greater than those available from access to noncontingent international borrowing. Intercasual insurance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295640
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Currency blocs in the 21st century
Fischer, Christoph - 2011
economic variables determine a given country's currency bloc affiliation. The dollar bloc differs from the euro bloc in that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305207
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Exchange rate dynamics, expectations, and monetary policy
Chen, Qianying - 2011
This paper re-investigates the implications of monetary policy rules on changes in exchange rate, in a risk-adjusted, uncovered interest parity model with unrestricted parameters, emphasizing the importance of modeling market expectations of monetary policy. I use consensus forecasts as a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305998
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Political risk and export promotion: evidence from Germany
Moser, Christoph; Nestmann, Thorsten; Wedow, Michael - 2006
Political risk represents an important hidden transaction cost that reduces international trade. This paper investigates the claim that German public export credit guarantees (Hermes guarantees) mitigate this friction to trade flows and hence promote exports. We employ an empirical trade gravity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295825
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Determinants of German Foreign Direct Investment in Latin American and Asian Emerging Markets in the 1990s
Wezel, Torsten - 2003
emerging Asia tended to exploit low factor costs. Methodically, this paper uses the SUR estimation technique which allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295759
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Testing mean-variance efficiency in CAPM with possibly non-gaussian errors: an exact simulation-based approach
Dufour, Jean-Marie; Beaulieu, Marie-Claude; Khalaf, Lynda - 2003
In this paper we propose exact likelihood-based mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a special case. These tests are developed in the framework of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295747
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Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models
Breitung, Jörg; Eickmeier, Sandra - 2009
structural breaks in the factor loadings for the specification and estimation of factor models based on principal components and … correlated. We also apply the suggested test procedure to a US dataset used in Stock and Watson (2005) and a euro-area dataset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298752