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Extreme value theory as a theoretical background for power law behavior

Alfarano, Simone; Lux, Thomas - 2010

therefore allows its application in many diverse fields. Moreover, this theory offers new powerful techniques for the estimation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277948

Markov or not Markov - this should be a question

Bickenbach, Frank; Bode, Eckhardt - 2001

Although it is well known that Markov process theory, frequently applied in the literature on income convergence, imposes some very restrictive assumptions upon the data generating process, these assumptions have generally been taken for granted so far. The present paper proposes, resp. recalls...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265521

Business Cycles and FDI: Evidence from German Sectoral Data

Buch, Claudia M.; Lipponer, Alexander - 2005

Globalization has affected business cycle developments in OECD countries and has increased activities of firms across national borders. This paper analyzes whether these two developments are linked. We use a new firm-level dataset on the foreign activities of German firms to test whether foreign...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260529

Banking and balance of payments crises: On possible causes of the twin crises

Buch, Claudia M.; Heinrich, Ralph P. - 1998

Banking and balance of payments crises often happen quite simultaneously. We show that the impact of an expected devaluation on the net worth of commercial banks with a short open foreign exchange position speeds up the timing of a balance of payments crisis. We employ an asymmetric information...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275494

Prognosegüte alternativer Frühindikatoren für die Konjunktur in Deutschland

Benner, Joachim; Meier, Carsten-Patrick - 2003

Untersuchungen zur Prognosegüte sollten nicht nur Prognosefehler, die auf der Schätzung der Parameter beruhen, berücksichtigen, sondern auch solche, die aus der stichprobenabhängigen Auswahl des Prognosemodells resultieren. Wird die Prognosefehlervarianz durch rekursive Out-of-Sample...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265566

Investigating the impact of an appreciation of the euro in a small macroeconometric model of Germany and the euro area

Meier, Carsten-Patrick - 2004

analyzed in combination with the situation in the rest of the euro area. To take this into account, a small macroeconometric … model is constructed that models the euro area as consisting of two regions, Germany and the rest of the euro area. The rest … monetary policy or of exchange rate changes on economic activity in Germany and the euro area. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265489

Die Weltwirtschaft im Umbruch: müssen die Realeinkommen der Arbeitnehmer sinken?

Siebert, Horst - 1996

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265285

Konjunkturschwankungen in den asiatischen NICs und in ausgewählten Industrieländern: Synchronisation oder Divergenz?

Fels, Joachim - 1988

Die stärkste Dynamik in der Weltwirtschaft entfaltet derzeit die asiatisch-pazifische Region. Besonders kräftig wachsen dort die vier Schwellenländer Südkorea, Taiwan, Hongkong und Singapur, die im folgenden als asiatische NICs (für Newly Industrializing Countries) bezeichnet werden. Sie...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275522

Estimating the shape of economic crises under heterogeneity

Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2009

During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265233

Untersuchungen zur Bemessungsgrundlage und zum kassenmäßigen Aufkommen der Steuern vom Umsatz

Boss, Alfred - 1997

In light of the ongoing discussion on the erosion of the tax base in Germany, the relation between value added tax (VAT) revenues and their macroeconomic underpinnings is investigated. Based on a highly disaggregated classification of private consumption and specific government expenditures it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265341

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