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typically inefficient. Empirical proxies of exposure risk are significant in both Euro and Sterling operations. Our findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797780
This article examines the recent regulatory developments with regard to short selling. Short selling regulation is an important factor in firm governance because it affects the way in which firms are subject to market discipline. We begin with a comprehensive compilation of emergency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003970469
We propose a dynamic Rational Expectations (RE) bubble model of prices with the intention to exploit it for and evaluate it on optimal investment strategies. Our bubble model is defined as a geometric Brownian motion combined with separate crash (and rally) discrete jump distributions associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865575
At odds with the common “rational expectations” framework for bubbles, economists like Hyman Minsky, Charles Kindleberger and Robert Shiller have documented that irrational behavior, ambiguous information or certain limits to arbitrage are essential drivers for bubble phenomena and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900246
Macroeconomic time series often involve a threshold effect in their ARMA representation, and exhibit long memory features. In this paper we introduce a new class of threshold ARFIMA models to account for this. The threshold effect is introduced in the autoregressive and/or the fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966199
emerging markets produces significant portfolio gains. Skewness, Developed Markets, Emerging Markets, Quantile estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009566
This chapter surveys recent econometric methodologies for inference in large dimensional conditional factor models in finance. Changes in the business cycle and asset characteristics induce time variation in factor loadings and risk premia to be accounted for. The growing trend in the use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101166
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011876090
We construct risk-neutral return probability distributions from S&P 500 options data over the decade 2003 to 2013, separable into pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis regimes. The pre-crisis period is characterized by increasing realized and, especially, option-implied returns. This translates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010443041
We propose a reduced form model for the Minskian dynamics of liquidity and of asset prices in terms of the so-called financial accelerator mechanism. In a nutshell, credit creation is driven by the market value of the financial assets employed as collateral in the bank loans. This leads to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009561751