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Both academic researchers and policymakers posit a unique role for the US in the inter-national financial system. This paper investigates the characteristics and determinants of US cross-border financial flows and examines how these contrast with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975553
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001898570
Extending the controversial findings from relevant literature on testing the efficient market hypothesis for the U.S. housing market, the results from the monthly and quarterly transaction-based Case-Shiller indices from 1987 to 2009 provide further empirical evidence on the rejection of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919079
It is well known that information arrival has an impact on prices volatility, and trading volume in financial markets (see e.g., Goodhart and O'Hara 1997). Scheduled macroeconomic announcements, such as monthly employment figures, consumer prices, or building permits, stand out from the steady...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445168
We characterise the probability distributions of various categories of gross capital flows conditional on information contained in financial asset prices in a panel of emerging market economies, with a focus on "tail" events. Our framework, based on the quantile regression methodology, allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503534
estimate a Markov switching VAR for the euro area and the US, including additionally GDP, CPI and a short-term interest rate …. We find evidence for two distinct states in both regions. For the euro area, we find a regime which is correlated to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003554973
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001749417
The paper extends the evidence on the factors relevant for pricing stocks in emerging markets. While previous literature focused on Latin American and Asian developing markets, Central and Eastern European markets remain under-researched. By focusing on the Polish stock market, we aim to fill in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660508
This study focuses on the diversification benefits of the most developed equity markets of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). To evaluate these benefits of diversification we use so-called spanning tests based on a stochastic discount factor approach and estimated by General Methods of Moments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444904