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Banking and debt crisis in Europe : the dangerous liaisons?
Candelon, Bertrand; Palm, Franz C. - 2010
The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. -- king crisis ; sovereign debt crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951604
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Financial Crises after Financial Liberalization : Exceptional Circumstances or Structural Weakness?
Weller, Christian E. - 2000
Recent studies have conjectured that there may be a link between financial liberalization and financial instability in emerging economies. Most of these studies, however, do not investigate whether emerging economies are becoming structurally more vulnerable to currency and banking crises. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014173277
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Financial crises after financial liberalization : exceptional circumstances or structural weakness?
Weller, Christian E. - 1999
Recent studies have conjectured that there may be a link between financial liberalization and financial instability in emerging economies. Most of these studies, however, do not investigate whether emerging economies are becoming structurally more vulnerable to currency and banking crises. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518147
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Zur Qualität professioneller Wechselkursprognosen : sind professionelle Wechselkursprognosen eine sinnvolle Entscheidungshilfe für Unternehmen und Investoren?/ Robert Schmidt
Schmidt, Robert - 2003
Die Berücksichtigung der zukünftigen Entwicklung des Wechselkurses ist sowohl für internationale Unternehmen als auch für international tätige Investoren unabdingbar. Allerdings ist die Erstellung von Wechsel- kursprognosen schwierig, da bis zum heutigen Zeitpunkt kein allgemein anerkanntes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498979
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Chinese monetary policy and the dollar peg
Reade, J. James; Volz, Ulrich - 2010
This paper investigates to what extent Chinese monetary policy is constrained by the dollar peg. To this end, we use a cointegration framework to examine whether Chinese interest rates are driven by the Fed's policy. In a second step, we estimate a monetary model for China, in which we include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008796581
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Have financial markets become more informative?
Bai, Jennie; Philippon, Thomas; Savov, Alexi - 2012
The finance industry has grown. Financial markets have become more liquid. Information technology has improved. But have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content of market prices has not increased since 1960. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657611
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Early warning system for government debt crisis in developing countries
Wijayanti, Rani; Rachmanira, Sagita - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 9 (2020), pp. 103-124
This study develops an early warning signal (EWS) of government debt crisis using a panel data consisting of 43 developing countries over the period of 1960 to 2017. It employs two different methods: the noise to signal ratio to capture the signaling power of individual indicators; and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306685
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Banks and sovereigns : a model of mutual contagion
Gruber, Alexander; Kogler, Michael - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718449
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What drives sovereign debt portfolios of banks in a crisis context?
Lamas, Matías; Mencía, Javier - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946887
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Optimal Bailouts in Banking and Sovereign Crises
Hur, Sewon; Sosa‐Padilla, César; Yom, Zeynep - 2022
We study optimal bailout policies in the presence of banking and sovereign crises. First, we use European data to document that asset guarantees are the most prevalent way in which sovereigns intervene during banking crises. Then, we build a model of sovereign borrowing with limited commitment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308897