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Do country fundamentals explain emerging market bond spreads?
Beck, Roland - 2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001596256
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Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies
Montiel, Peter - 2003
We explore a model intended to capture the interaction between exchange rate policy, fiscal policy, and outright default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing the government. We show that under a credible hard peg...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403958
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Exchange rates and sovereign risk : a nonlinear approach based on local Gaussian correlations
Heinlein, Reinhold; Legrenzi, Gabriella; Mahadeo, Scott … - 2024
We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505308
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Country default probabilities : assessing and backtesting
Huschens, Stefan; Karmann, Alexander; Maltritz, Dominik; … - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003391283
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Financial contagion during Lehman default and sovereign debt crisis : an empirical analysis on Euro area bond and equity markets
Gentile, Monica; Giordano, Luca - In: Journal of financial management, markets and institutions 1 (2013) 2, pp. 197-224
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011949603
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Sovereign risk in a structural approach : evaluating sovereign ability-to-pay and probability of default
Karmann, Alexander; Maltritz, Dominik - 2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001751548
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Sovereign risk in a structural approach : evaluating sovereign ability-to-pay and probability of default
Karmann, Alexander; Maltritz, Dominik - 2003
We quantify the probability that a sovereign defaults on repayment obligations in foreign currency. Adopting the structural approach as first introduced by Merton, we consider the sovereigns ability-to-pay, characterised by the sum of discounted future payment surpluses, as the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506632
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Banking and debt crisis in Europe : the dangerous liaisons?
Candelon, Bertrand; Palm, Franz C. - 2010
The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. -- king crisis ; sovereign debt crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951604
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The power of opinion : more evidence of a GIPS-markup in sovereign ratings during the euro crisis
Nauhaus, Steffen - 2015
This paper examines whether the Big Three credit rating agencies actually played as active a role in the Euro Crisis as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317827
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Do credit rating agencies add to the dynamics of emerging market crises?
Kräussl, Roman - 2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001798570