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Semiparametric modelling of the cross-section of expected returns in the German stock market

Stehle, Richard; Bunke, Olaf; Sommerfeld, Volker - 1997

According to the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model, expected rates of return on individual stocks differ only because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables size and book-to-market ratio capture the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022

Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system

Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000

Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885

Nonlinear error correction and the efficient market hypothesis : the case of German dual-class shares

Breitung, Jörg; Wulff, Christian - 1999

The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581105

Fractional cointegration and tests of present value models

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

This paper tests the validity of Present Value (PV) models of stock prices by employing a two-step strategy for testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the power and size...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383

Mean reversion in national stock markets revisited : empirical evidence from mature markets

Bernal, Alberto J.; Soikkeli, Jarkko - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001485780

Modeling the interdependence of volatility and inter-transaction duration processes

Grammig, Joachim; Wellner, Marc - 1999

-transaction duration process and vice versa. In order to solve the estimation problems implied by this interdependent formulation, we first … propose a GMM estimation procedure for the Autoregressive Conditional Duration model. The method is then extended to the … simultaneous estimation of the interdependent duration-volatility model. In an empirical application we utilize the model for an …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579173

Manipulation in political stock markets : preconditions and evidence

Hansen, Jan; Schmidt, Carsten; Strobel, Martin - 2001

Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875

Das hohe Leistungsbilanzdefizit der Vereinigten Staaten : ein Risiko für die Weltwirtschaft und für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland?

Dovern, Jonas - 2006

Das Leistungsbilanzdefizit der Vereinigten Staaten ist in seiner gegenwärtigen Höhe von 6½ Prozent des Bruttoinlandsprodukts dauerhaft nicht tragfähig. Verschiedene weltwirtschaftliche Entwicklungen wirken allerdings darauf hin, dass sich das Defizit langfristig auf ein tragfähiges Niveau...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003376277

Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2008 : Folgen der US-Immobilienpreise belasten die Konjunktur

In: Ifo-Schnelldienst 61 (2008) 8, pp. 3-71

Am 17 April 2008 stellte die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose in Berlin ihr Frühjahrsgutachten der Presse vor. Ihrer Ansicht nach wird die Weltwirtschaft von der Krise des Immobilien- und des Finanzsektors in den USA und den von ihr ausgelösten weltweiten Finanzmarktturbulenzen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003696878

Effects of international trade on unskilled labor wages

Alvisi, Marina; Crosta Blanco, Juan Ignacio - 1997

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000961058